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The natural rate of unemployment refers to
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the level of unemployment at which there is no cyclical unemployment.
- This is where the economy has reached full employment,
- and where the supply of labour equals the demand of labour
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When an demand begins to exceed full employment cost-push inflation occurs
- because labour becomes scarce and wages must increase to attract workers
- (away from their current positions, to other firms)
- because labour becomes scarce and wages must increase to attract workers
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These increased costs will be passed on by firms to consumers and cause inflation across the economy.
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The NAIRU represents
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the lowest unemployment rate which can be sustained without an increase in inflation.
- Recently, Australia lowered the NAIRU estimate from 5% to 4.5%
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When unemployment is at the NAIRU, ==it is considered full employment==
- i.e. no cyclical unemployment???